← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Oct 4, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.10 |
| Darmstadt win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe −0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Darmstadt −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.56 |
| Under | 38% | 2.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 11' | ⚽ | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 15' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 28' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 54' | ⚽ | Kai Klefisch · Darmstadt |
| 69' | 🟨 | Christoph Kobald · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 74' | ⚽ | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 77' | ⚽ | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 82' | 🟨 | Andrin Hunziker · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Clemens Riedel |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 18 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1707.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 4.09 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1566.72 | 1398.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.66 | -21.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.00 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| league points | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.63 |
| season ppg | 2.25 | 0.63 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| state index | 0.42 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |