← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 22, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: P. Alt
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Magdeburg +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Karlsruhe +0 | 49% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 67% | 1.47 |
| Under | 33% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Xavier Amaechi · Magdeburg |
| 7' | 🟨 | Marcel Beifus · Karlsruhe |
| 24' | ⚽ | Leon Jensen · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | ⚽ | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 55' | 🟨 | Dženis Burnić · Karlsruhe |
| 62' | 🟨 | Marcus Mathisen · Magdeburg |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daniel Heber · Magdeburg |
| 75' | 🟨 | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 78' | ⚽ | Philipp Hercher · Magdeburg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martijn Kaars · Magdeburg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Magdeburg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Avnet Arena |
| coach days | 1329.00 | 1695.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 1.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1451.28 | 1567.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.89 | 29.78 |
| eye test v1 | 0.84 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.76 |
| league points | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.86 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |