← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Heft
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt win | 24% | 4.03 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.44 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Guille Bueno · Darmstadt |
| 12' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Vukotić · Darmstadt |
| 14' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 34' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 39' | ⚽ | Ron Schallenberg · FC Schalke 04 |
| 44' | 🟨 | Killian Corredor · Darmstadt |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Fraser Hornby · Darmstadt |
| 46' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 48' | 🟨 | Mehmet Aydin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 52' | 🟨 | Luca Marseiler · Darmstadt |
| 56' | ⚽ |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 9 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| 65' | 🟨 | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 75' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 83' | 🟨 | Derry Murkin · FC Schalke 04 |
| 87' | ⚽ | Isac Lidberg · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Klaus Gjasula · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Darmstadt |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| coach days | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 4.29 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1438.29 | 1389.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.32 | -42.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.64 |
| league points | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 0.80 | 0.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | -0.51 | -1.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.00 |