← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Hannover win | 32% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| SC Paderborn 07 −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Felix Götze · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 9' | ⚽ | Koen Kostons · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 19' | ⚽ (og) | Koen Kostons · Hannover |
| 45' | 🟨 | Enzo Leopold · Hannover |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ilyas Ansah · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 87' | 🟨 | Mika Baur · SC Paderborn 07 |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sei Muroya · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 9 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Paderborn 07 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Home Deluxe Arena |
| 3.20 |
| coach days | 1177.00 | 812.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1514.15 | 1511.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.26 | 22.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.30 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |