← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Kampka
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 27% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Hannover −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.70 |
| Under | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Hyun-ju Lee · Hannover |
| 11' | 🟨 | Erik Wekesser · Kaiserslautern |
| 56' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
| 59' | 🟨 | Phil Neumann · Hannover |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jessic Ngankam · Hannover |
| 65' | 🟨 | Almamy Touré · Kaiserslautern |
| 69' | 🟨 | Hyun-ju Lee · Hannover |
| 73' | ⚽ | Max Christiansen · Hannover |
| 83' | 🟨 | Bartłomiej Wdowik · Hannover |
| 85' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Heinz von Heiden-Arena |
| 90' | ⚽ | Monju Momuluh · Hannover |
| coach days | 806.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1501.77 | 1432.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.22 | 32.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 1.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.64 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 55.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.73 |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 14.77 | 13.69 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.59 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.11 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |