← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: F. Prigan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Darmstadt win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Braunschweig win | 26% | 3.80 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Darmstadt −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.72 |
| Under | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
| 9' | 🟨 | Paul Jaeckel · Braunschweig |
| 28' | ⚽ | Sergio López · Darmstadt |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marvin Rittmüller · Braunschweig |
| 45' | 🟨 | Fabio Kaufmann · Braunschweig |
| 86' | ⚽ | Levente Szabó · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kai Klefisch · Darmstadt |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Joe Conteh · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leon Bell Bell · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Max Marie · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Darmstadt | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor |
| coach days | 13.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1392.47 | 1337.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -50.37 | -57.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.20 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.56 | -0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -3.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.54 |
| league points | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.98 |
| season ppg | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.18 | -0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| state index | -1.59 | -1.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.13 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |