← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 13, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Welz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 47% | 2.05 |
| FC Schalke 04 win | 28% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.83 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Karlsruhe −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.53 |
| Under | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Fabian Schleusener · Karlsruhe |
| 34' | 🟨 | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 43' | 🟨 | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 45' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 71' | 🟨 | Marvin Wanitzek · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | BBBank Wildpark |
| coach days | 1686.00 | 12.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 1.60 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.22 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1559.01 | 1446.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.12 | -33.43 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.61 |
| league points | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 12.21 | 12.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.69 |
| state index | 0.54 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |