← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 1, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Bauer
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 42% | 2.35 |
| Braunschweig win | 33% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig +0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Karlsruhe +0.25 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.58 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Ermin Bičakčić · Braunschweig |
| 39' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Karlsruhe |
| 73' | ⚽ | Andrin Hunziker · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | ⚽ | Budu Zivzivadze · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Walid Ould-Chikh · Braunschweig |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sven Köhler · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 1 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| coach days | 305.00 | 1674.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1343.06 | 1553.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.85 | 36.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.71 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.45 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| state index | -1.48 | 0.63 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |