← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: B. Brand
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 42% | 2.27 |
| Hertha win | 32% | 3.04 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.63 |
| Under | 41% | 2.39 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 31' | ⚽ | Philipp Klement · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | ⚽ | Aaron Opoku · Kaiserslautern |
| 51' | ⚽ | Derry Scherhant · Hertha |
| 64' | ⚽ | Jan Luca Schuler · Hertha |
| 68' | ⚽ | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 79' | ⚽ | Michaël Cuisance · Hertha |
| 81' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pascal Klemens · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 17 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 11 | Corners | 7 |
| 6 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| coach days | 61.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.05 | 3.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1442.63 | 1486.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.52 | -4.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.90 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.57 |
| league points | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.31 | 7.31 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.72 | 1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.17 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |