← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Jöllenbeck
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln win | 66% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.20 |
| Braunschweig win | 15% | 6.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln −1.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Braunschweig −1.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 68% | 1.42 |
| Under | 32% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Timo Hübers · 1. FC Köln |
| 29' | 🟨 | Jan Thielmann · 1. FC Köln |
| 34' | ⚽ | Dejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln |
| 58' | ⚽ | Tim Lemperle · 1. FC Köln |
| 61' | ⚽ | Dejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln |
| 77' | 🟨 | Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln |
| 86' | 🟨 | Niklas Tauer · Braunschweig |
| 88' | ⚽ | Luca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
| 13 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Köln | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| venue | RheinEnergieSTADION |
| coach days | 54.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1536.67 | 1350.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.25 | -32.80 |
| eye test v1 | 1.32 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 14.31 | 13.29 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.50 | — |
| state index | -0.11 | -1.26 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |