← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: R. Hempel
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hertha win | 58% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.17 |
| Regensburg win | 19% | 5.14 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Regensburg −1 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Hertha −1 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.68 |
| Under | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sebastian Ernst · Regensburg |
| 54' | 🟨 | Linus Gechter · Hertha |
| 57' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 66' | 🟨 | Pascal Klemens · Hertha |
| 76' | 🟥 | Mansour Ouro-Tagba · Regensburg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Kai Pröger · Regensburg |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Felix Gebhardt · Hertha |
| 90' | ⚽ | Florian Niederlechner · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hertha | Regensburg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | Olympiastadion Berlin |
| coach days | 84.00 | 481.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 1.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | — |
| elo | 1479.28 | 1342.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.35 | 11.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.83 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.60 | 64.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 13.69 | 14.77 |
| season ppg | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.08 | — |
| state index | -0.49 | -0.45 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |