← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 10, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Gerach
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV win | 57% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Hertha win | 21% | 4.71 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Hertha −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.46 |
| Under | 34% | 2.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · Hamburger SV |
| 35' | 🟨 | Jeremy Dudziak · Hertha |
| 39' | 🟨 | Daniel Elfadli · Hamburger SV |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sebastian Schonlau · Hamburger SV |
| 84' | 🟨 | Deyovaisio Zeefuik · Hertha |
| 86' | ⚽ | Jonjoe Kenny · Hertha |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 11 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hamburger SV | Hertha |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| venue | Volksparkstadion |
| coach days | 191.00 | 70.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1574.48 | 1474.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.46 | -34.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.41 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.31 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 25.08 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |