← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Fri, Aug 9, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: F. Lechner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Greuther Furth win | 27% | 3.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Kaiserslautern −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.59 |
| Under | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Jannis Heuer · Kaiserslautern |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Julian Green · Greuther Furth |
| 38' | ⚽ | Noel Futkeu · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Boris Tomiak · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | ⚽ | Daniel Hanslik · Kaiserslautern |
| 76' | 🟨 | Dennis Srbeny · Greuther Furth |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jan Elvedi · Kaiserslautern |
| 84' | ⚽ | Ragnar Ache · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 0.20 |
| coach days | 39.00 | 770.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 3.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1430.12 | 1466.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 61.75 | 42.19 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.20 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.36 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.40 |
| state index | 0.54 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |