← 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 3, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Stieler
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Schalke 04 win | 49% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Braunschweig win | 25% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| FC Schalke 04 −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Tobias Mohr · FC Schalke 04 |
| 25' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 32' | ⚽ | Kevin Ehlers · Braunschweig |
| 39' | 🟨 | Rayan Philippe · Braunschweig |
| 51' | 🟨 | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 69' | 🟨 | Marcin Kamiński · FC Schalke 04 |
| 73' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
| 78' | 🟨 | Walid Ould-Chikh · Braunschweig |
| 82' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · FC Schalke 04 |
| 83' | ⚽ | Kenan Karaman · FC Schalke 04 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 8 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Schalke 04 | Braunschweig |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 |
| venue | VELTINS-Arena |
| 0.00 |
| coach days | 307.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1465.61 | 1378.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.21 | -1.58 |
| eye test v1 | 0.68 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.78 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.63 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 74.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 38.60 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 30.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.05 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.69 | — |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.45 | -0.82 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |