← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, May 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: D. Palencia
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 60% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.20 |
| Zaragoza win | 18% | 5.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +1 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Málaga CF +1 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under | 42% | 2.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Ibercaja Estadio |
| 3.60 |
| 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1352.15 | 1594.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.94 | 45.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 1.66 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.82 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.61 | 1.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.30 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 7.20 |
| state index | -1.51 | 0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.78 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.71 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 2.43 |