← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, May 31, 04:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Perez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 68% | 1.37 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.25 |
| Valladolid win | 15% | 6.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −1.25 | 52% | 1.83 |
| Valladolid −1.25 | 48% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 25 | Shots | 8 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | UD Almeria Stadium |
| 0.20 |
| 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1545.96 | 1415.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.27 | 4.84 |
| eye test v1 | 1.01 | -0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.66 |
| league points | 78.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.40 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.98 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -1.00 | -0.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.15 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.10 | 1.16 |