← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, May 4, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Etayo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 66% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.00 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −1.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Mirandes −1.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 9 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Almeria | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.52 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 276.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | UD Almeria Stadium |
| -2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1585.23 | 1425.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.62 | 11.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | -0.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 74.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 8.18 | 8.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.92 | -0.23 |
| solidity v1 | -1.49 | -0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.70 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 23.29 | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.56 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.15 | 1.38 |