← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 28, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Muresan
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 53% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Leganes win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Leganes −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.19 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 239.00 | 239.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| -2.60 |
| -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.56 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1560.90 | 1505.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.26 | -6.32 |
| eye test v1 | 1.29 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.69 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 60.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.95 | 1.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.31 | -0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 30.04 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.47 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.98 | 1.77 |