← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Jan 4, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.86 |
| Zaragoza win | 33% | 2.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Zaragoza +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.49 |
| Over | 36% | 2.73 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 156.00 | 156.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.14 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| corner diff avg (last 5) |
| -0.60 |
| 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.35 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1376.67 | 1578.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.03 | 0.23 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| league points | 17.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.18 |
| solidity v1 | -1.17 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 24.75 |
| state index | -0.21 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.17 | 0.82 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 0.94 |