← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: German Cid Camacho, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Albacete win | 23% | 4.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Granada −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | José Manuel Arnáiz · Granada |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alex Sola · Granada |
| 51' | 🟨 | Javier Moreno · Albacete |
| 52' | 🟨 | Oscar Naasei Oppong · Granada |
| 52' | 🟨 | Jefté Betancor · Albacete |
| 70' | 🟨 | Ander Astralaga · Granada |
| 72' | 🟨 | Baïla Diallo · Granada |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Jefté Betancor · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jonathan Gómez · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes |
| coach days | 142.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1492.41 | 1469.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.53 | -21.07 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.68 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.10 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| league points | 23.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.19 | -0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.06 | — |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |