← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 21, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 42% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
| Mirandes win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Cordoba +0.25 | 49% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Jacobo · Cordoba |
| 23' | 🟨 | Álex Martín · Cordoba |
| 29' | 🟨 | Juan María Alcedo · Cordoba |
| 33' | ⚽ | Carlos Fernández · Mirandes |
| 41' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 89' | 🟨 | Sergi Guardiola · Cordoba |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 90' | 🟥 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sergi Guardiola · Cordoba |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio Mendizorrotza |
| coach days | 142.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.70 |
| elo | 1476.74 | 1452.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.36 | -21.10 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 63.20 |
| rest days | 5.82 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.47 | 0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |