← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 17% | 5.78 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cultural Leonesa −0.75 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.27 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Enrique Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 19' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 20' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Amatucci · Las Palmas |
| 20' | 🟨 | Lucas Ribeiro · Cultural Leonesa |
| 28' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Las Palmas |
| 39' | ⚽ | Jesé Rodríguez · Las Palmas |
| 55' | 🟨 | Bicho · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 4 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1569.26 | 1430.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.46 | 8.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.92 | -0.15 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 64.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 35.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | -0.11 |
| solidity v1 | 0.68 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.75 | — |
| state index | 0.14 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.01 | 1.57 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.77 | 1.03 |