← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 20, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Jeremy Arevalo · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mario Garcia · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 65' | 🟨 | Oscar Sielva · Huesca |
| 76' | 🟨 | Plamen Andreev · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sergi Enrich · Huesca |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jorge Pulido · Huesca |
| 89' | 🟨 | Julio Alonso · Huesca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ángel Pérez · Huesca |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| 3.60 |
| coach days | 141.00 | 141.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 1.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1462.65 | 1569.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.28 | 33.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | 1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.56 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.20 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.57 |
| league points | 25.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 7.82 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.95 | 0.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |