← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Dec 19, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.96 |
| Valladolid win | 27% | 3.59 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Eibar −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ander Madariaga · Eibar |
| 11' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
| 20' | 🟨 | Mohamed Jaouab · Valladolid |
| 48' | ⚽ | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 59' | 🟨 | Marco Moreno · Eibar |
| 65' | 🟨 | Julien Ponceau · Valladolid |
| 70' | ⚽ | José Corpas · Eibar |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mario Dominguez · Valladolid |
| 82' | 🟨 | Ander Madariaga · Eibar |
| 86' | 🟨 | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| coach days | 140.00 | 140.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1467.00 | 1437.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.95 | -7.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.46 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 6.27 | 6.18 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 25.25 |
| state index | -1.00 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.02 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |