← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 14, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Ojaos Valera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Málaga CF win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.87 |
| Over | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ (og) | Einar Galilea · Albacete |
| 52' | ⚽ | David Larrubia · Málaga CF |
| 59' | ⚽ | Dani Lorenzo · Málaga CF |
| 67' | 🟨 | Izan Merino · Málaga CF |
| 68' | 🟨 | José Carlos Lazo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Pacheco · Albacete |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Chupete · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 4 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 135.00 | 135.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.71 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1487.76 | 1459.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.66 | -5.30 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.75 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| league points | 25.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.71 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.25 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |