← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 13, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Alvaro Moreno Aragon, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Cadiz win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Cadiz −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.58 |
| Over | 39% | 2.47 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Roger Martí · Cadiz |
| 34' | 🟨 | Iker Recio · Cadiz |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Aleksandar Radovanović · Cadiz |
| 65' | ⚽ | Moussa Diakité · Cadiz |
| 70' | 🟨 | Moussa Diakité · Cadiz |
| 77' | ⚽ | Alberto Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 79' | 🟨 | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alberto Rodríguez · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dani Tasende · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alfred Caicedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Cadiz |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| coach days | 134.00 | 134.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.47 | 3.80 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1401.55 | 1513.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.52 | -28.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | 0.92 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 5.02 | 6.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.84 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 29.70 | 25.41 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |