← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, Dec 8, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 61% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.03 |
| Mirandes win | 15% | 6.63 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −1 | 53% | 1.88 |
| Las Palmas −1 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | 🟨 | Alberto Mari · Mirandes |
| 38' | 🟥 | Dinko Horkaš · Las Palmas |
| 50' | 🟨 | Fernando Medrano · Mirandes |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
| 86' | 🟨 | Iker Cordoba · Mirandes |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 129.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1573.71 | 1483.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.40 | 6.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.60 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 55.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.68 |
| league points | 33.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.90 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | -0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.84 | -0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 24.75 | 22.40 |
| state index | 0.50 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | -0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.67 |