← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.31 |
| Castellon win | 29% | 3.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon −0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña −0.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.92 |
| Over | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Lucas Alcazar · Castellon |
| 26' | 🟨 | Stoichkov · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 32' | ⚽ | Yeremay Hernández · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 37' | 🟨 | Diego Villares · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giacomo Quagliata · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 45' | 🟨 | Awer Mabil · Castellon |
| 64' | ⚽ | Marc Olivier Doue · Castellon |
| 69' | 🟨 | Jeremy Mellot · Castellon |
| 71' | 🟨 | Romain Matthys · Castellon |
| 79' | ⚽ | Fabrizio Brignani · Castellon |
| 84' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Riazor |
| ⚽ |
| Brian Cipenga · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟥 | Lucas Noubi · RC Deportivo La Coruña |
| 90' | 🟨 | Israel Suero · Castellon |
| 90' | 🟨 | Diego Barri · Castellon |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 128.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 8.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 4.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1562.50 | 1516.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.14 | 42.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | 0.63 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.90 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| league points | 35.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 2.06 | 1.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.70 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| state index | 0.90 | 0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |