← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 55% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.51 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 18% | 5.56 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa −0.75 | 52% | 1.90 |
| Eibar −0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Anaitz Arbilla · Eibar |
| 40' | ⚽ (pen) | Manu Justo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 44' | 🟨 | Thiago Ojeda · Cultural Leonesa |
| 50' | ⚽ | Thiago Ojeda · Cultural Leonesa |
| 52' | 🟨 | Malcom Ares · Eibar |
| 56' | 🟨 | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 62' | 🟨 | Roger Hinojo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 66' | 🟨 | Matia Barzić · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| coach days | 128.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1478.50 | 1435.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.75 | 12.31 |
| eye test v1 | 0.81 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 65.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.78 |
| league points | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.66 | -0.15 |
| solidity v1 | -1.26 | -0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.64 | — |
| state index | -0.58 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.70 | 0.87 |