← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Dec 7, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Angel Perez Hernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Cadiz win | 32% | 3.13 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.94 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Dawda Camara · Cadiz |
| 13' | 🟨 | Jose Antonio de la Rosa · Cadiz |
| 15' | ⚽ | Roger Martí · Cadiz |
| 19' | 🟨 | Dawda Camara · Cadiz |
| 20' | ⚽ | Iñigo Vicente · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 25' | 🟨 | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 28' | 🟨 | Iñigo Vicente · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 42' | 🟨 | Roger Martí · Cadiz |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alvaro Mantilla · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 47' | 🟨 | Iker Recio · Cadiz |
| 49' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| Maguette Gueye · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 60' | 🟨 | Asier Villalibre · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 63' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 72' | 🟨 | Moussa Diakité · Cadiz |
| 90' | ⚽ | Andrés Martín · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 128.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.04 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1499.08 | 1563.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.69 | 26.56 |
| eye test v1 | -0.66 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.73 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.79 |
| league points | 25.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 6.81 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.83 | 0.07 |
| solidity v1 | -0.17 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.45 | 0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.10 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.27 | 0.93 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.15 |