← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Andres Fuentes Molina, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 38% | 2.56 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.86 |
| Huesca win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca +0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Ivan Cantalejo · Valladolid |
| 35' | 🟨 | Guille Bueno · Valladolid |
| 36' | ⚽ | Peter González · Valladolid |
| 51' | 🟨 | Jesus Alvarez · Huesca |
| 55' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Valladolid |
| 56' | ⚽ | Peter González · Valladolid |
| 70' | 🟨 | Juanmi Latasa · Valladolid |
| 74' | ⚽ | Samuel Ntamack Ndimba · Huesca |
| 76' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Valladolid |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ángel Pérez · Huesca |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sergi Canós |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio El Alcoraz |
| coach days | 127.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1467.32 | 1427.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.30 | -21.89 |
| eye test v1 | -0.89 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 51.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.69 |
| league points | 22.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.80 | 9.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.50 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |