← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Dec 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sanchez Lopez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Andorra (club) win | 30% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Andorra (club) +0.25 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Almeria +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.97 |
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Nélson Monte · Almeria |
| 69' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 77' | ⚽ | Sergio Arribas · Almeria |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jastin García · Andorra (club) |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marcos Luna · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Manuel Nieto · Andorra (club) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Andorra (club) | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadi de la FAF |
| coach days | 127.00 | 127.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 4.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1406.78 | 1574.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.17 | 26.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | 0.86 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.83 |
| league points | 19.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.60 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.73 | 6.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.97 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | — | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.97 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.62 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |