← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 50% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Las Palmas win | 23% | 4.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Castellon −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Enrique Clemente · Las Palmas |
| 43' | 🟨 | Diego Barri · Castellon |
| 55' | 🟨 | Ousmane Camara · Castellon |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 67' | 🟨 | Mika Mármol · Las Palmas |
| 76' | ⚽ | Israel Suero · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Castalia |
| coach days | 121.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.22 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1505.64 | 1584.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.87 | 24.97 |
| eye test v1 | 0.86 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 58.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| league points | 28.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 8.20 | 9.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.99 | 0.28 |
| solidity v1 | -0.49 | 1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| squad age | — | 24.75 |
| state index | 0.55 | 0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.05 | 0.97 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.08 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.47 | 0.74 |