← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 30, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Jose Antonio Sanchez Villalobos, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 35% | 2.72 |
| Leganes win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Leganes +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.62 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Duk · Leganes |
| 28' | 🟥 | Marvel · Leganes |
| 32' | 🟨 | Raúl Guti · Zaragoza |
| 35' | ⚽ | Kenan Kodro · Zaragoza |
| 58' | 🟨 | Amadou Diawara · Leganes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Gonzalo Melero · Leganes |
| 60' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Zaragoza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ignasi Miquel · Leganes |
| 66' | ⚽ | Toni Moya · Zaragoza |
| 76' | ⚽ | Francho Serrano · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Carlos Guirao |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 5 |
| 11 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| 90' | 🟥 | Duk · Leganes |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Diego García · Leganes |
| coach days | 121.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.59 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1384.28 | 1561.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.76 | -50.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.77 |
| league points | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 7.81 | 7.81 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.13 | 27.16 |
| state index | -0.52 | -0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |