← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 29, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Gonzalez Diaz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Granada win | 34% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cultural Leonesa +0 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Granada +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Jorge Pascual · Granada |
| 45' | 🟨 | José Manuel Arnáiz · Granada |
| 57' | 🟨 | Jorge Pascual · Granada |
| 74' | 🟨 | Lucas Ribeiro · Cultural Leonesa |
| 79' | 🟨 | Pau Casadesús · Granada |
| 83' | 🟨 | Matia Barzić · Cultural Leonesa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cultural Leonesa | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Reino de León |
| coach days | 120.00 | 120.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.66 | 2.45 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1445.69 | 1503.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.43 | -5.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.93 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| league points | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.20 | 81.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.50 |
| solidity v1 | -0.65 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | 0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.05 | 2.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.59 |