← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 51% | 1.90 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.44 |
| Mirandes win | 22% | 4.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Mirandes −0.5 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Juan Palomares · Mirandes |
| 31' | ⚽ | Adrián Niño · Málaga CF |
| 33' | ⚽ | Adrián Niño · Málaga CF |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sergio Postigo · Mirandes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 49' | 🟨 | Alberto Mari · Mirandes |
| 59' | ⚽ | Alberto Mari · Mirandes |
| 73' | 🟨 | Victor Garcia Marin · Málaga CF |
| 79' | ⚽ | Gonzalo Petit · Mirandes |
| 90' | ⚽ | Einar Galilea · Málaga CF |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 11 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 114.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1453.86 | 1476.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.94 | -27.67 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 6.02 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 22.40 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.65 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |