← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 23, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.08 |
| Cultural Leonesa win | 25% | 3.82 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Cultural Leonesa −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Efe Ugiagbe · Cadiz |
| 21' | ⚽ | Matia Barzić · Cultural Leonesa |
| 28' | 🟨 | Thiago Ojeda · Cultural Leonesa |
| 37' | ⚽ | Manu Justo · Cultural Leonesa |
| 56' | 🟨 | Iker Recio · Cadiz |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 16 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Cultural Leonesa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 114.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.51 | 2.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1501.71 | 1432.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.95 | 20.94 |
| eye test v1 | -1.31 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.80 |
| league points | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 5.82 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.80 | 4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.22 | — |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.58 | 2.01 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.72 |