← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Almeria win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Almeria −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Leganes −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Adrián Embarba · Almeria |
| 25' | 🟨 | Iddrisu Baba · Almeria |
| 34' | 🟨 | Álex Centelles · Almeria |
| 50' | ⚽ | Daijiro Chirino · Almeria |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lalo Aguilar · Leganes |
| 82' | 🟨 | Adrián Embarba · Almeria |
| 88' | 🟨 | Daijiro Chirino · Almeria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Arnau Puigmal · Almeria |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 7 |
| 10 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leganes | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Butarque |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1550.32 | 1571.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.79 | 35.36 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | 1.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 46.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.75 |
| league points | 18.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.19 | 6.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | 0.46 |
| solidity v1 | 1.02 | 0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 30.04 | 23.29 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.29 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.49 | 1.68 |