← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Andres Fuentes Molina, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Zaragoza win | 18% | 5.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar −0.5 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Yussif Saidu · Zaragoza |
| 18' | 🟨 | Sergio Cubero · Eibar |
| 23' | ⚽ | Peru Nolaskoain Esnal · Eibar |
| 25' | 🟨 | Yussif Saidu · Zaragoza |
| 25' | 🟥 | Yussif Saidu · Zaragoza |
| 28' | 🟨 | Toni Villa · Eibar |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario Soberón · Zaragoza |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sergio Álvarez · Eibar |
| 42' | 🟨 | Marco Moreno · Eibar |
| 77' | 🟨 | Carlos Pomares · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Esteban Andrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 23 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Eibar | Zaragoza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal de Ipurua |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sinan Bakış · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jon Bautista · Eibar |
| 90' | 🟨 | Xeber Alkain · Eibar |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 5.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1506.63 | 1347.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.14 | -11.94 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.40 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 21.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 24.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 5.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 0.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | -0.17 |
| solidity v1 | -1.38 | -1.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.64 | — |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.81 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.11 | 1.83 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.55 | 0.78 |