← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 22, 03:15 PM UTC · ref: German Cid Camacho, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 36% | 2.67 |
| Andorra (club) win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Andorra (club) +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Pablo Santiago · Castellon |
| 13' | ⚽ | Pablo Santiago · Castellon |
| 37' | 🟨 | Thomas Carrique · Andorra (club) |
| 54' | ⚽ | Alberto Jiménez · Castellon |
| 56' | ⚽ | Adam Jakobsen · Castellon |
| 65' | 🟨 | Beñat Gerenabarrena · Castellon |
| 66' | 🟨 | Manuel Nieto · Andorra (club) |
| 89' | ⚽ | Min-su Kim · Andorra (club) |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Andorra (club) | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadi de la FAF |
| coach days | 113.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 4.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1415.05 | 1491.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.25 | 20.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 2.02 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.68 |
| league points | 17.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 7.01 | 7.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | 1.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.11 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.68 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.98 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 2.33 |