← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 21, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Morilla Turrion, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 56% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.62 |
| Albacete win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Albacete −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Las Palmas −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Las Palmas |
| 27' | 🟨 | Fran Gámez · Albacete |
| 33' | 🟨 | Antonio Pacheco · Albacete |
| 39' | ⚽ | Miloš Luković · Las Palmas |
| 63' | 🟨 | Pepe Sánchez · Albacete |
| 71' | ⚽ | Jon Morcillo · Albacete |
| 87' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Aguado · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Barcia · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antonio Puertas · Albacete |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| coach days | 112.00 | 112.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.97 | 2.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1578.10 | 1496.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.45 | -2.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | 1.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.30 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.68 |
| league points | 30.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 40.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.19 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.60 |
| squad age | 24.75 | — |
| state index | 0.52 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | -1.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |