← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Salvador Lax Franco, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 38% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.75 |
| Huesca win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huesca −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Zaragoza −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Martín Aguirregabiria · Zaragoza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Keidi Bare · Zaragoza |
| 60' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Zaragoza |
| 81' | 🟨 | Valery Fernández · Zaragoza |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ángel Pérez · Huesca |
| 89' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟥 | Aleksandar Radovanović · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 8 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Ibercaja Stadium |
| coach days | 107.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1357.32 | 1466.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -51.57 | -42.51 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 44.00 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.61 |
| league points | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 24.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 8.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.40 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 28.89 |
| state index | -1.50 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.20 | -0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |