← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 16, 05:30 PM UTC · ref: Alonso De Ena Wolf, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Burgos win | 39% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Mirandes win | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes +0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Burgos +0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over | 35% | 2.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Sergio González · Burgos |
| 39' | 🟨 | Toni Tamarit · Mirandes |
| 52' | 🟨 | Pablo Pérez · Mirandes |
| 54' | 🟨 | Martín Pascual · Mirandes |
| 76' | 🟨 | Juan Gutiérrez · Mirandes |
| 84' | ⚽ | Mario González · Burgos |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Mario González · Burgos |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Mendizorrotza |
| coach days | 107.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1493.12 | 1512.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.92 | 45.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.96 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| league points | 15.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 8.92 | 5.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.87 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.53 | -0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 22.40 | — |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | -0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |