← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ceuta win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.85 |
| Leganes win | 31% | 2.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ceuta +0 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Leganes +0 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Marvel · Leganes |
| 20' | 🟨 | Rubén Peña · Leganes |
| 28' | 🟨 | Anuar · Ceuta |
| 30' | ⚽ | Rubén Peña · Leganes |
| 42' | 🟨 | Yago Cantero · Ceuta |
| 52' | ⚽ | Amadou Diawara · Leganes |
| 90' | ⚽ (og) | Juan Soriano · Ceuta |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ceuta | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube |
| coach days | 107.00 | 107.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1490.99 | 1540.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.84 | -28.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.83 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.70 |
| solidity v1 | 0.17 | 0.63 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | — | 30.04 |
| state index | 0.33 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 2.04 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.47 |