← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 15, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Saul Ais Reig, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 52% | 1.76 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Granada win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Granada −0.5 | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio El Sardinero |
| 79' |
| 🟨 |
| Ander Astralaga · Granada |
| 85' | 🟨 | Alex Sola · Granada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alvaro Mantilla · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juan Carlos Arana · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 1.80 |
| coach days | 106.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.89 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1535.71 | 1504.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.50 | -6.20 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.66 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| league points | 28.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 6.29 | 6.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.68 | 0.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.42 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |