← Segunda División 2025-26 · Fri, Nov 14, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Gonzalez Diaz, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.85 |
| Las Palmas win | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.25 | 56% | 1.68 |
| Valladolid −0.25 | 44% | 2.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.48 |
| Over | 36% | 2.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 28' | 🟨 | Mika Mármol · Las Palmas |
| 53' | 🟨 | David Torres · Valladolid |
| 79' | 🟨 | Iván Alejo · Valladolid |
| 84' | 🟨 | Stanko Jurić · Valladolid |
| 86' | 🟨 | Marvin Park · Las Palmas |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 22 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 1.69 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1483.89 | 1602.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.14 | 19.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.06 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 57.60 |
| rest days | 4.98 | 5.27 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.32 | 0.99 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.72 | 25.28 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.01 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |