← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Luis Bestard Servera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 39% | 2.35 |
| Cadiz win | 31% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz +0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Valladolid +0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over | 38% | 2.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Sergio Ortuño · Cadiz |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mario Climent · Cadiz |
| 40' | 🟨 | Brian Ocampo · Cadiz |
| 44' | 🟨 | Bojan Kovačević · Cadiz |
| 60' | 🟨 | Joaquín González · Cadiz |
| 76' | 🟨 | Alfred Caicedo · Cadiz |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ivan Cantalejo · Valladolid |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 11 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cadiz | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla |
| coach days | 100.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.44 | 3.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1517.60 | 1449.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.04 | 3.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.00 | 0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.68 |
| league points | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 7.29 | 6.02 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.46 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.00 | 0.48 |
| solidity v1 | 0.77 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.22 | 25.25 |
| state index | -0.30 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.17 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.14 | 1.52 |