← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sun, Nov 9, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: Gorka Etayo Herrera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas win | 51% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Real Racing Club de Santander −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under | 50% | 1.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Gustavo Puerta · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 13' | ⚽ | Asier Villalibre · Real Racing Club de Santander |
| 37' | ⚽ | Manuel Fuster · Las Palmas |
| 40' | ⚽ | Mika Mármol · Las Palmas |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ale García · Las Palmas |
| 56' | 🟨 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 66' | 🟨 | Pejiño · Las Palmas |
| 82' | 🟨 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 82' | 🟥 | Enzo Loiodice · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Iván Gil · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 18 | Fouls | 14 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Las Palmas | Real Racing Club de Santander |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio de Gran Canaria |
| Edward Cedeño · Las Palmas |
| 2.00 |
| coach days | 100.00 | 100.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 4.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1557.70 | 1547.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.92 | 15.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.75 | 0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.31 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| league points | 24.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.80 | 56.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 8.73 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.86 |
| solidity v1 | 1.11 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.75 | — |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | — |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.63 | — |