← Segunda División 2025-26 · Sat, Nov 8, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: Manuel Jesus Orellana Cid, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Cordoba win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cordoba −0.25 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.78 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Carlos Dotor · Málaga CF |
| 32' | 🟨 | Dani Requena · Cordoba |
| 36' | 🟨 | Franck Fomeyem · Cordoba |
| 40' | 🟨 | Cristian Carracedo · Cordoba |
| 48' | 🟨 | Francisco Montero · Málaga CF |
| 53' | 🟥 | Carlos Albarrán · Cordoba |
| 59' | ⚽ | Rafa Rodriguez · Málaga CF |
| 63' | ⚽ | Adrian Fuentes · Cordoba |
| 89' | ⚽ | Rafa Rodriguez · Málaga CF |
| 90' | 🟨 | Eneko Jauregi · Málaga CF |
| 90' | ⚽ | Diego Bri |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 2 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Málaga CF | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio La Rosaleda |
| coach days | 99.00 | 99.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1464.81 | 1471.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.99 | 55.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.72 |
| league points | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 50.80 |
| rest days | 6.10 | 6.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |