← Segunda División 2025-26 · Mon, Nov 3, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Ojaos Valera, Spain
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 48% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Granada win | 24% | 3.80 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Granada −0.5 | 51% | 1.85 |
| Valladolid −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.65 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Peter González · Valladolid |
| 28' | ⚽ | Jorge Pascual · Granada |
| 30' | 🟨 | Amath Ndiaye · Valladolid |
| 33' | 🟨 | Julien Ponceau · Valladolid |
| 43' | 🟨 | Sergio Ruiz Alonso · Granada |
| 52' | 🟨 | Pedro Alemañ Serna · Granada |
| 59' | ⚽ | Amath Ndiaye · Valladolid |
| 71' | 🟨 | Rubén Alcaraz · Granada |
| 88' | ⚽ (pen) | Ivan Cantalejo · Valladolid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jorge Pascual · Granada |
| 90' | 🟥 | Diego Hormigo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valladolid | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla |
| coach days | 94.00 | 94.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1439.35 | 1507.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.76 | 7.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.00 | -0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.96 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.68 |
| league points | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.98 | 9.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.31 |
| solidity v1 | 0.36 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.25 | 26.06 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.34 | -0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 2.48 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 1.03 |